11 Comments
May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

Don't y'all wish that the data produced by Insurance actuarials was publicly available instead of proprietary info?

I have an acquaintance who is EXTREMELY gifted in statistical/math/actuarial science, admittedly Asperger's social-psych challenged who was scooped up out of grad school to work for an international insurance association.

Through a game of how can-you-answer-without-violating-your-NDA, I assessed from the Q&A that most of the WuFlu health and science scandals are real. You can unravel the how and who; that onion is peeling, but no one can know why. It's a sick, money grubbing world out there.

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May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

Hope the San Andreas beats it to the draw. 😂Actually, I wouldn’t wish that on anyone even the Left coast. Having said, Insurance actuaries study real world data and produce results based on objective best evidence that’s why they were ahead of the curve on all causes deaths after the vaccine rollout. It is still costing them a lot of extra money as is the hurricane flood damage caused by homeowners insisting on buying homes right next to water on dredged up sand barsin Florida. Spoiler: that is not a complication of warming.

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May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

OMGerd CO2!

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May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

If I didn't follow you regularly possibly could have written this off as 'fear porn' however our household has been aware for ages.

Also, a potential event post an elliptical event often correlates historically over time...

Including Civil and World Wars post an eclipse similar to the most recent over the USA.

Great 'word to the wise'...

Nature is nature, man is but a simple speck not a God, seems he 'messes' with the natural order...

But...

Peace out...

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May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

I follow an amateur meteorologist on FB whose primary goal is to push back on the man-made climate change narrative, and note that much of the weather changes are the result of changes in the SUN. (Not us, sorry IPCC grifters). Says we are approaching the peak of a Grand Solar Maximum, which then leads to increased coronal holes in the sun. These holes unleash solar winds that, if they reach earth, create large disturbances in Earth's magnetosphere that some now correlate with strong earthquakes. There was a paper published in Nature in 2020 https://www.astronomy.com/science/powerful-eruptions-on-the-sun-might-trigger-earthquakes/ A lot of the science is over my head, but he follows a page called https://spaceweather.com/ and posts whenever there is a new coronal hole. And then there is an earthquake somewhere in the world 6.0 or stronger within 24 hours.

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May 21Liked by Jennifer Brown

Fascinating!

Good rainy-day-research-instead-of-boobtoob-watching!

Outside today digging out shrub roots...

My bro is in OK, and the talking heads have "settled" the science:

OMGerd FRACKING!!

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I'm a bit of a weather nerd, and follow storm chaser extraordinaire Reed Timmer, who is based out of Norman, but chases all over the US. OK has had a very active tornado year this year - is that fracking too? LOL.

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YES!

Fracking AMAZING!

FWIW and FYI:

The Muscogee Nation assures residents of its environs that tornados will never touch their spiritually blessed land.

The Elders might have His ear, but I'm not so sure Creek Great Spirit = Jehovah.

Anywho, Ms MO: I'd rather be walking around Maramec Spring in the Show Me state than just about anywhere in the USofA. Hope you stay safe. 😊

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Hmm, well this damage viewer goes back at least a decade, https://apps.dat.noaa.gov/stormdamage/damageviewer/ - not sure of the specific boundaries of the Muscogee Nation, but the area in and around the town of Muscogee had 3 tornadoes in 2017.

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Love you weather nerds!!

Great tool, THX!

Capital of Creek (Muskogee) Nation is Okmulgee OK. No reports historically around the cap city, but you're right... I've heard of twisters in nearby areas which means NADA ZIP PLOP.

Folklore almost as reliable as CNN.

hardyharhar.

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I grew up in southern Indiana. We learned about the 1811 event in grade school as the "Kentucky Shakes". I especially recall the account of the "Mississippi river flowing backward" and such. There was significant damage in what was the area of Evansville and throughout parts of of western and southern Indiana. Which was all sparsely populated at the time as the "old midwest" was still "frontier" country in those days.

Fast forward to my college years, I took "Geology" as an elective at an Indiana university. They actually covered the New Madrid earthquake zone since it's regionally relevant. They showed us an impact chart much like the one you've shared here. The problem with this part of the country is the bedrock is much more contiguous and ancient than the west coast. This transmits seismic events over a longer distance. Research has been done in the area to attempt to predict how frequently there have been large scale events like the 1811 "shakes". IIRC it was on the order of 200-500 years maybe more.

Also the New Madrid faults run much further north than the tri-state region where the focal point of the geologic activity is. For example in 2008 a magnitude 5 quake erupted around 6am near the town of West Salem in southwestern Illinois. It was severe enough in the Indianapolis area to wake people up. This is quite a bit north of New Madrid, but is the same geologic instability.

So, like the San Andreas, whether or not it will produce another 1811-type "big one" event is probably not if but when. And given that the midwest does not have anything like the building codes relating to serious earthquake risk like in the west coast, and 200+ years later is much more developed and populated it will probably be rather devastating. And in a much greater area (as shown) than out west too, sadly.

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